tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Nashville via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 17:12 HOU → 20:28 ATL
    DL 2381 · Delta · 2h 16m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ATL → 21:44 BNA
    DL 3002 · Delta · 1h 14m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 32mHOU 17:12 to BNA 21:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.