tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Las Vegas via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 17:12 HOU → 20:28 ATL
    DL 2381 · Delta · 2h 16m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ATL → 22:39 LAS
    DL 825 · Delta · 4h 19m · 67% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 27mHOU 17:12 to LAS 22:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.