tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 17:12 HOU → 20:28 ATL
    DL 2381 · Delta · 2h 16m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 ATL → 22:47 PHX
    DL 842 · Delta · 4h 02m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 35mHOU 17:12 to PHX 22:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.