tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 57%

  1. 13:10 SJC → 18:49 MSP
    DL 2383 · Delta · 3h 39m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 MSP → 21:25 ORD
    DL 1563 · Delta · 1h 40m · 68% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 15mSJC 13:10 to ORD 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.