tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Washington via Minneapolis: arrives on time 64%

  1. 13:10 SJC → 18:49 MSP
    DL 2383 · Delta · 3h 39m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 MSP → 23:27 DCA
    DL 2961 · Delta · 2h 26m · 71% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 16mSJC 13:10 to DCA 23:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.