tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 69%

  1. 13:10 SJC → 18:49 MSP
    DL 2383 · Delta · 3h 39m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 MSP → 23:25 IAD
    DL 4129 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 30m · 78% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 15mSJC 13:10 to IAD 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.