tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Sarasota/Bradenton via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:25 MIA → 09:29 LGA
    DL 2387 · Delta · 3h 03m · 87% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:28 LGA → 13:33 SRQ
    DL 2412 · Delta · 3h 06m · 90% on time, 8.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (8.2% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 09mMIA 06:25 to SRQ 13:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.