tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → New Orleans via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:15 JFK → 09:26 MSP
    DL 2390 · Delta · 3h 11m · 87% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 MSP → 15:25 MSY
    DL 2695 · Delta · 2h 40m · 85% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 154 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip9h 10mJFK 07:15 to MSY 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.