tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Washington via Minneapolis: arrives on time 72%

  1. 07:15 JFK → 09:26 MSP
    DL 2390 · Delta · 3h 11m · 87% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:26 MSP → 13:48 DCA
    DL 2983 · Delta · 2h 23m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 34mJFK 07:15 to DCA 13:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.