tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Honolulu via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:15 JFK → 09:26 MSP
    DL 2390 · Delta · 3h 11m · 87% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:24 MSP → 13:53 HNL
    DL 312 · Delta · 8h 29m · 83% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 12h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 6 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip12h 38mJFK 07:15 to HNL 13:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.