tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

West Palm Beach → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 28%

  1. 15:25 PBI → 18:20 LGA
    DL 2396 · Delta · 2h 55m · 64% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 LGA → 21:00 BNA
    DL 4723 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 45m · 63% on time, 20.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind West Palm Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (20.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 35mPBI 15:25 to BNA 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.