tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Key West via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:00 EWR → 14:20 ATL
    DL 2397 · Delta · 2h 20m · 81% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:53 ATL → 19:53 EYW
    DL 2815 · Delta · 2h 00m · 77% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 168 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 53mEWR 12:00 to EYW 19:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.