tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 12:00 EWR → 14:20 ATL
    DL 2397 · Delta · 2h 20m · 81% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 19:24 SDF
    DL 2831 · Delta · 1h 25m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 174 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 24mEWR 12:00 to SDF 19:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.