tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Des Moines via Detroit: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:30 LAX → 12:56 DTW
    DL 2399 · Delta · 4h 26m · 90% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:18 DTW → 17:13 DSM
    DL 5345 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 57m · 75% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 157 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip9h 45mLAX 05:30 to DSM 17:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.