tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Dallas via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 13:29 EWR → 15:50 ATL
    DL 2401 · Delta · 2h 21m · 80% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:38 ATL → 17:55 DAL
    DL 2780 · Delta · 2h 17m · 79% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 26mEWR 13:29 to DAL 17:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.