tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Seattle via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 13:29 EWR → 15:50 ATL
    DL 2401 · Delta · 2h 21m · 80% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:45 ATL → 19:04 SEA
    DL 472 · Delta · 5h 19m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 35mEWR 13:29 to SEA 19:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.