tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Las Vegas via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 13:29 EWR → 15:50 ATL
    DL 2401 · Delta · 2h 21m · 80% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:40 ATL → 17:56 LAS
    DL 711 · Delta · 4h 16m · 78% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 27mEWR 13:29 to LAS 17:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.