tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 07:25 ATL
    DL 2407 · Delta · 1h 25m · 92% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:38 ATL → 10:08 TPA
    DL 1227 · Delta · 1h 31m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip4h 09mSDF 06:00 to TPA 10:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.