tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 07:25 ATL
    DL 2407 · Delta · 1h 25m · 92% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:18 ATL → 11:10 DTW
    DL 1298 · Delta · 1h 54m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 53m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 12mSDF 06:00 to DTW 11:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.