tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Houston via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 07:25 ATL
    DL 2407 · Delta · 1h 25m · 92% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:20 ATL → 09:28 HOU
    DL 1509 · Delta · 2h 04m · 90% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 24mSDF 06:00 to HOU 09:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.