tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 07:25 ATL
    DL 2407 · Delta · 1h 25m · 92% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ATL → 11:34 TPA
    DL 1587 · Delta · 1h 34m · 82% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 34mSDF 06:00 to TPA 11:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.