tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 07:25 ATL
    DL 2407 · Delta · 1h 25m · 92% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 ATL → 10:57 PHL
    DL 2270 · Delta · 2h 06m · 87% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 01mSDF 06:00 to PHL 10:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.