tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 07:25 ATL
    DL 2407 · Delta · 1h 25m · 92% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 ATL → 11:07 LAS
    DL 945 · Delta · 4h 12m · 84% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 07mSDF 06:00 to LAS 11:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.