tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 07:25 ATL
    DL 2407 · Delta · 1h 25m · 92% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:24 ATL → 11:49 LGA
    AA 4628 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 91% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 49mSDF 06:00 to LGA 11:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.