tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 63%

  1. 01:35 FAI → 06:17 SEA
    DL 2408 · Delta · 3h 42m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:20 SEA → 13:30 ORD
    DL 2055 · Delta · 4h 10m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 3 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 55mFAI 01:35 to ORD 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.