tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 90%

  1. 01:35 FAI → 06:17 SEA
    DL 2408 · Delta · 3h 42m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:14 SEA → 11:21 PDX
    AS 3090 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 07m · 98% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip8h 46mFAI 01:35 to PDX 11:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.