tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Des Moines via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 11:10 LGA → 13:08 MSP
    DL 2409 · Delta · 2h 58m · 85% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:40 MSP → 16:54 DSM
    DL 4913 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 14m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 44mLGA 11:10 to DSM 16:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.