tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Buffalo via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 11:10 LGA → 13:08 MSP
    DL 2409 · Delta · 2h 58m · 85% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:22 MSP → 18:27 BUF
    DL 1749 · Delta · 2h 05m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 17mLGA 11:10 to BUF 18:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.