tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → St Louis via New York: arrives on time 54%

  1. 14:30 SRQ → 17:30 LGA
    DL 2412 · Delta · 2h 59m · 82% on time, 6.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:51 LGA → 20:46 STL
    DL 4926 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 56m · 70% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (6.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 17mSRQ 14:30 to STL 20:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.