tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Houston via New York: arrives on time 47%

  1. 14:30 SRQ → 17:30 LGA
    DL 2412 · Delta · 2h 59m · 82% on time, 6.8% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:29 LGA → 21:44 IAH
    DL 2109 · Delta · 4h 15m · 65% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (6.8% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 14mSRQ 14:30 to IAH 21:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.