tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 44%

  1. 14:30 SRQ → 17:30 LGA
    DL 2412 · Delta · 2h 59m · 82% on time, 6.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 LGA → 20:45 ORD
    DL 2513 · Delta · 2h 55m · 57% on time, 7.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (6.8% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (7.4% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 15mSRQ 14:30 to ORD 20:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.