tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Atlanta via New York: arrives on time 56%

  1. 14:30 SRQ → 17:30 LGA
    DL 2412 · Delta · 2h 59m · 82% on time, 6.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 LGA → 21:40 ATL
    DL 970 · Delta · 2h 41m · 66% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (6.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 10mSRQ 14:30 to ATL 21:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.