tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Kansas City via Minneapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 11:33 JFK → 13:50 MSP
    DL 2414 · Delta · 3h 17m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 MSP → 16:47 MCI
    DL 1630 · Delta · 1h 28m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 15mJFK 11:33 to MCI 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.