tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Buffalo via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:33 JFK → 13:50 MSP
    DL 2414 · Delta · 3h 17m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:22 MSP → 18:27 BUF
    DL 1749 · Delta · 2h 05m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 54mJFK 11:33 to BUF 18:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.