Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%
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11:33 JFK → 13:50 MSPDL 2414 · Delta · 3h 17m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled
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1h 04m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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14:54 MSP → 16:09 PHXDL 2284 · Delta · 3h 21m · 82% on time, 1.5% cancelled
Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 42mJFK 11:33 to PHX 16:09, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.