tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Jose via Portland: arrives on time 95%

  1. 09:00 MSP → 10:40 PDX
    DL 2415 · Delta · 3h 39m · 89% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:30 PDX → 16:25 SJC
    AS 3210 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip9h 25mMSP 09:00 to SJC 16:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.