tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Fairbanks via Minneapolis: arrives on time 71%

  1. 11:46 PDX → 17:03 MSP
    DL 2415 · Delta · 3h 17m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 MSP → 20:43 FAI
    DL 1055 · Delta · 5h 33m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 1 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip9h 57mPDX 11:46 to FAI 20:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.