tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 12:50 MDW → 15:49 ATL
    DL 2417 · Delta · 2h 02m · 86% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:12 ATL → 18:53 RIC
    DL 1348 · Delta · 1h 41m · 77% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 03mMDW 12:50 to RIC 18:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.