tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Santa Ana via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 12:50 MDW → 15:49 ATL
    DL 2417 · Delta · 2h 02m · 86% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 ATL → 19:06 SNA
    DL 2012 · Delta · 4h 36m · 71% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip8h 16mMDW 12:50 to SNA 19:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.