tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Jacksonville via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 12:50 MDW → 15:49 ATL
    DL 2417 · Delta · 2h 02m · 86% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 4h 02m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:51 ATL → 21:05 JAX
    DL 2315 · Delta · 1h 14m · 57% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 197 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 02m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 15mMDW 12:50 to JAX 21:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.