tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 12:50 MDW → 15:49 ATL
    DL 2417 · Delta · 2h 02m · 86% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 ATL → 18:57 BHM
    DL 2371 · Delta · 58m · 63% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 07mMDW 12:50 to BHM 18:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.