tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 12:50 MDW → 15:49 ATL
    DL 2417 · Delta · 2h 02m · 86% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 ATL → 19:29 MEM
    DL 2384 · Delta · 1h 24m · 59% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 39mMDW 12:50 to MEM 19:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.