tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 12:50 MDW → 15:49 ATL
    DL 2417 · Delta · 2h 02m · 86% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:42 ATL → 21:28 JFK
    DL 2398 · Delta · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 38mMDW 12:50 to JFK 21:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.