tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 61%

  1. 12:50 MDW → 15:49 ATL
    DL 2417 · Delta · 2h 02m · 86% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 ATL → 21:25 LGA
    DL 468 · Delta · 2h 25m · 67% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 35mMDW 12:50 to LGA 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.