tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Redmond via Seattle: arrives on time 87%

  1. 12:05 PHX → 15:18 SEA
    DL 2419 · Delta · 3h 13m · 94% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:26 SEA → 18:45 RDM
    DL 4141 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 19m · 89% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 83 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 40mPHX 12:05 to RDM 18:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.