tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Fresno via Phoenix: arrives on time 88%

  1. 08:10 SEA → 11:08 PHX
    DL 2419 · Delta · 2h 58m · 92% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:26 PHX → 16:08 FAT
    AA 4091 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 59mSEA 08:10 to FAT 16:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.