tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:59 EWR → 21:46 ATL
    DL 2430 · Delta · 2h 47m · 60% on time, 13.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:10 ATL → 00:53 RIC +1 day
    DL 1263 · Delta · 1h 42m · 77% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (13.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 53mEWR 18:59 to RIC 00:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.