tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Milwaukee via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 18:59 EWR → 21:46 ATL
    DL 2430 · Delta · 2h 47m · 60% on time, 13.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 ATL → 23:56 MKE
    DL 1268 · Delta · 2h 04m · 81% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (13.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 00mEWR 18:59 to MKE 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.