tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → San Antonio via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 18:59 EWR → 21:46 ATL
    DL 2430 · Delta · 2h 47m · 60% on time, 13.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:00 ATL → 00:33 SAT +1 day
    DL 1508 · Delta · 2h 33m · 80% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (13.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 34mEWR 18:59 to SAT 00:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.