tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 39%

  1. 18:59 EWR → 21:46 ATL
    DL 2430 · Delta · 2h 47m · 60% on time, 13.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 ATL → 00:40 BWI +1 day
    DL 2590 · Delta · 1h 55m · 78% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (13.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 41mEWR 18:59 to BWI 00:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.